Main Operation Center
by DeltaEagle
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아무 생각없이 가서 금융투자분석사라는 시험을 쳤는데...

0.1점의 오차도 없는 턱걸이로 붙었네? 빌린 책으로 하루 전날 밤샘 벼락치기 해서 낭비된 점수 없이 패스했으니 경제성은 확실히 달성한 듯. 사실 뭐 얼마나 대단한 시험도 아니니 패스 못하는게 더 이상할지도?
by DeltaEagle | 2011/12/28 20:31 | Free Input (Korean) | 트랙백 | 덧글(0)
A pun-intended comment of the day
Over five thousand years ago, Moses said to the children of Israel, "Pick up your shovels, mount your asses and camels, and I will lead you to the Promised Land."

Nearly 75 years ago, (when Welfare was introduced) Roosevelt said, "Lay down your shovels, sit on your asses, and light up a Camel, this is the Promised Land."

Today, Congress has stolen your shovel, taxed your asses, raised the price of Camels and mortgaged the Promised Land!

I was so depressed last night thinking about Health Care Plans, the economy, the wars, lost jobs, savings, Social Security, retirement funds, etc., I called a Suicide Hotline.

After pressing 1 for English, I was connected to a call center in Pakistan and I told them I was suicidal. They got excited and asked if I could drive a truck......

Folks, we're screwed!

- From readers' comment on Wall Street Journal, by 'Jose Martinez Obregon'
by DeltaEagle | 2011/11/27 20:54 | Funny Stuff | 트랙백 | 덧글(0)
[Bloomberg] Wall St. Unoccupied With 200,000 Job Cuts

Wall Street Unoccupied With 200,000 Job Cuts

John Brady, co-head of MF Global Inc.’s Chicago office, was having a vodka cocktail at the Ritz- Carlton in Naples, Florida, overlooking theGulf of Mexico, on the day his company reported its largest-ever quarterly loss.

“Wow, the sun just set,” Brady said to his wife and two colleagues attending a conference with him, he recalled in an interview. “I hope it doesn’t set on MF Global.”

A week later, on Oct. 31, the firm led by former Goldman Sachs Group Inc. (GS) co-Chief Executive Officer Jon Corzine collapsed. Brady and 1,065 colleagues joined a wave of firings that has washed away more than 200,000 jobs in the global financial-services industry this year, eclipsing 174,000 in 2009, data compiled by Bloomberg show. BNP Paribas (BNP) SA and UniCredit SpA (UCG) announced cuts last week, and the carnage likely will worsen as Europe’s sovereign-debt crisis roils markets.

“This is something very different,” said Huw Jenkins, a former head of investment banking at UBS AG (UBSN) who’s now a London- based managing partner at Brazil’s Banco BTG Pactual SA. “This is a structural change. The industry is shrinking.”

Wall Street rebounded from the financial crisis of 2008 with the help of unprecedented government support, including loans from the U.S. Federal Reserve. Goldman Sachs posted record profit the following year, and bonuses paid to securities-firm employees in New York City rose 17 percent to $20.3 billion, according to New York State Comptroller Thomas DiNapoli.

‘Nothing There’

Now, faced with higher capital requirements, the failure of exotic financial products and diminished proprietary trading, the industry is undergoing what Steven Eckhaus, chairman of the executive-employment practice at Katten Muchin Rosenman LLP, called “a paradigm shift.” The New York attorney, whose clients have included former Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc. Chief Financial Officer Erin Callan, said he has stopped giving his “spiel” about inherent talent leading to new work.

In interviews, a dozen people who have lost jobs at firms including Societe Generale SA, Royal Bank of Scotland Group Plc (RBS) and Jefferies Group Inc. (JEF) described a grim banking landscape that also includes Occupy Wall Street protests against unemployment stuck above 9 percent and income inequality.

“These are by far my darkest days,” said Scott Schubert, 49, who was dismissed in late 2008 as a mergers-and-acquisitions banker at Jefferies, a New York-based securities firm, and has been unemployed since. “It’s harder and harder to look for a job and feel that there’s nothing there.”

HSBC, BNP Paribas

Banks, insurers and asset managers in Western Europe have been hardest hit, announcing about 105,000 dismissals this year, 66 percent more than the region’s losses in 2008 at the depths of the financial crisis, Bloomberg data show. The 50,000 job cuts in North America this year are more than twice last year’s and fewer than the 175,000 in 2008.

Almost every week since August has brought news of firings by the world’s biggest banks. HSBC Holdings Plc (HSBA), Europe’s biggest lender, announced that month it would slash 30,000 jobs by the end of 2013. In September, Bank of America Corp. (BAC), the second-largest U.S. lender, said it would cut the same number of jobs. Both banks are trimming about 10 percent of their employees. Last week, BNP Paribas, France’s largest bank, said it will cut about 1,400 jobs at its corporate and investment- banking unit, and UniCredit, Italy’s biggest, said it plans to eliminate 6,150 positions by 2015.

“It’s a once-in-a-generation challenge,” said John Purcell, founder of London-based executive search firm Purcell & Co. “Everyone who has worked in the City since 1985 will have no idea of how to cope with this level of dislocation.”

Panic Attacks

Neil Brener, a psychiatrist whose patients work in London’s City and Canary Wharf financial districts said the stress is contributing to panic attacks, binge drinking and chest pains.

“Because there are fewer jobs, people are unhappy about being stuck,” Brener said. “They don’t have options about moving, and there is a sense of feeling trapped.”

London hiring could be frozen next year, according to the Centre for Economics and Business Research Ltd. Headcount in the City and Canary Wharf may fall to 288,225 by the end of the year, 27,000 fewer than in 2010 and the lowest since at least 1998, when there were 289,666 jobs, according to the London- based research firm.

Wall Street won’t regain its lost jobs “until about 2023,” Marisa Di Natale, an economist at Moody’s Analytics in West Chester, Pennsylvania, said in an e-mail.

Second Time

That’s not encouraging for Michael Reiner, 44, who lost his job in June as a credit strategist in New York for Societe Generale (GLE), France’s second-largest bank, whose shares are down 60 percent this year. When he called his wife to tell her the news, she was home watching “The Company Men,” a film about corporate downsizing, he said.

It wasn’t the first time Reiner had lost a job on Wall Street. He worked at Bear Stearns Cos. for 14 years until the firm collapsed in March 2008 and was taken over in a fire sale by JPMorgan Chase & Co. He said he was happy to have some time off with his family and go to Little League baseball games.

When he began looking for a job, he “wanted to find a place for the next 14 years,” he said. A recruiter brought him to Paris-based Societe Generale. It didn’t last that long.

It’s harder to talk about losing a job the second time, Reiner said. “There are a lot of people I haven’t told.”

Opportunities for employment “evaporated” as the European debt crisis escalated, he said. Now he spends his time going to his daughter’s field hockey games and managing his investments. He’s planning to make maple syrup from the trees in the backyard of his home in Briarcliff Manor, New York.

‘Fruitless’ Search

For Schubert, the former Jefferies banker in his third year looking for work, the longer he’s out of a job, the harder it is for him to tell his 10-year-old son to do his homework, he said.

“It might seem outwardly to him that I’ve given up,” he said in an interview this month from his four-bedroom home in Glen Ridge, New Jersey. “I can’t come to the table and say, ‘Well, when you were five, I worked nonstop.’”

Schubert, who received a master’s degree in business administration from New York University in 1989 and was a managing director specializing in middle-market M&A deals at Jefferies, said he wasn’t surprised when he lost his job in 2008 during the financial crisis. He thought unemployment would last 12 months at most.

“The first year out was fruitless,” he said. “There wasn’t much hiring going on at all.”

By the middle of 2010, more potential employers seemed interested, and he felt “something was imminent,” he said. Nothing happened.

This year, he has become increasingly disheartened by bad news on Wall Street, and it’s more difficult to stay in touch with former colleagues as time goes by, he said.

Hurricane Irene

On the August weekend of Hurricane Irene, training to coach his son’s soccer team alongside younger fathers, being “overly competitive for a man of my age,” Schubert twisted his right knee, he said. He aggravated the injury doing yard work and worries how much his health insurance will help, he said.

While his investment choices haven’t been “too terrible,” he will consider selling his house if he doesn’t find a job. “God, I hope it’s in the next six months,” he said.

Hetal Patel, 44, a foreign-exchange trader who worked at London-based Lloyds Banking Group Plc (LLOY) for more than 20 years until last month, said he doesn’t plan to look for work until early next year, “when budgets become clearer and perhaps conditions improve.”

Shares of his former company, controlled by the British government since a bailout in 2008, have fallen 64 percent this year, and the bank has posted a pretax loss of 3.86 billion pounds ($6 billion) in the first nine months. It announced 15,000 job cuts in June.

RBS Cuts

Another lender backed by the U.K., Edinburgh-based RBS, has announced about 30,000 job cuts, including 2,000 this year, since receiving the world’s biggest government bailout in 2008. Its shares are down 50 percent in 2011, and CEO Stephen Hester said Nov. 4 the investment bank “will have to shrink further.”

Tim Leary, 29, a director in high-yield and distressed trading, lost his job there on Nov. 7. After he got the news, he called his wife to say he’d see her and their 4-month-old son for breakfast.

He drove back to Manhattan from his office in Stamford, Connecticut, and put together a resume for the first time in years. He said he plans to spend “a fair amount of time figuring out what the landscape is” before starting his search.

Falling Bonuses

“Unfortunately, the industry always seems to get it wrong and they over-hire,” said Philip Keevil, 65, a former head of investment banking at S.G. Warburg & Co. and now a partner at New York-based advisory firm Compass Advisers LLP. “They are over-optimistic and then periodically throw large numbers out.”

Morale on Wall Street and London is “probably as bad, if not worse” than it has been in decades, said Keevil.

Wall Street bonuses are expected to fall in 2011 from the $128,530 average last year, DiNapoli, the state comptroller, said in October. Even so, when Goldman Sachs set aside 24 percent less to pay employees in the first nine months than in the same period last year, the amount, $10 billion, was equal to $292,836 for each of its 34,200 workers as of Sept. 30. That’s nearly six times the median household income in the U.S., where 49.1 million live in poverty, according to Census Bureau data.

Quitting for Quito

Wyatt Laikind, 26, made three times as much in his first year out of college working at Citigroup Inc. (C) as his single mother earned when he was growing up in western Massachusetts.

“It was like winning the lottery to get that job,” said Laikind, who worked as an associate on the New York-based bank’s high-yield credit-trading desk.

He got a job on Wall Street because he “was under the impression that it was a more meritocratic environment,” and “my hard work and intelligence would be paid off,” he said.

At first, he liked the excitement, he said. Then, after financial regulations curtailed proprietary trading, the job became “less appealing.” He said he didn’t like smiling at clients while having to figure out how to profit from them.

In July, after a vacation, he called his boss to quit, he said in an interview from Quito, Ecuador, where he is now working for Equitable Origin LLC, a start-up that offers a certification system for oil exploration. His salary is less than 5 percent of what he made at Citigroup, he lives with intermittent hot water, and he was robbed at knifepoint last month, he said.

“I feel happier on a daily basis,” Laikind said.

Sagging Mattress

His tone was different in a later e-mail.

“I wasn’t brought up in luxury, so I like to think I can tough it out,” he wrote, describing the sagging mattress he slept on in jeans and a hooded sweatshirt to stay warm. “But I may have to give it up and try going back to finance soon.”

If he does, it won’t be easy.

“Until now, at many firms, a lot of investment bankers have been convinced that we are living now in a limited period where things are a bit more difficult and afterwards the old world will come back,” Kaspar Villiger, 70, chairman of Zurich- based UBS said in an interview this month. “This illusion has now vanished.”

Increased capital requirements agreed to by the Basel Committee on Banking Supervision will limit banks’ use of borrowed funds to boost profit, lower their return on equity and likely reduce executive compensation, analysts say. High leverage “was the juice in the system,” said Ilana Weinstein, CEO of New York-based search firm IDW Group LLC. “It’s gone.”

Boxer Shorts

For Brady, 42, the vanishing point at MF Global arrived after he returned to Chicago from Florida. He thought the New York-based futures brokerage would “weather the storm,” even as Moody’s Investors Service cut its rating and shares plunged, he said. He got word that another company would buy the firm while at a Talking Heads cover-band concert and celebrated with a friend by drinking Anchor Steam beer and shots of Jameson.

He woke on Oct. 31 at 4:40 a.m. and searched for deal reports on his phone while standing in his boxer shorts with an electric toothbrush in the other hand. He didn’t find any.

The acquiring firm, Interactive Brokers Group Inc., pulled out of the deal after a discrepancy in client accounts surfaced, and MF Global filed for bankruptcy later that day.

At first, Brady thought his company would survive, he said. His wife thought he was in denial. His mood changed when he was sitting in the home office adjoining his bedroom, looking at the value of his holdings.

“My Fidelity account looks like my bar tab from just a week ago,” Brady said.

All Fired

On Nov. 11, a human resources executive asked colleagues on Brady’s floor to gather by his desk, which looks out on the Willis Tower, the tallest building in the U.S. They were all fired. She told them to show receipts for large personal belongings to the plainclothes security guards by the elevators, and that checks would be sent in the mail, Brady said. Someone asked if the checks would bounce. She said she didn’t know.

Brady, who said he wasn’t aware of the size of the bets MF Global made on European sovereign debt, wrote to clients this month saying he’s looking to join a firm that believes “integrity and honesty are the single most important ingredients to success.” He said last week he is optimistic.

To contact the reporters on this story: Max Abelson in New York at mabelson@bloomberg.net; Ambereen Choudhury in London atachoudhury@bloomberg.net

To contact the editors responsible for this story: David Scheer at dscheer@bloomberg.net; Edward Evans at eevans3@bloomberg.net

by DeltaEagle | 2011/11/22 21:52 | Investment | 트랙백 | 덧글(0)
Greece debacle laid out by STRATFOR
The eurozone (read: Germany) has its work cut out for it.


(The image is a creation of, and belongs to STARTFOR Global Intelligence (stratfor.com) )
by DeltaEagle | 2011/10/19 20:17 | Investment | 트랙백 | 덧글(5)
완주 송화백일주

송화백일주는 전라북도 완주의 수왕사에서 수백년간 전해내려온 스님들의 '곡차(穀茶)'를 증류한 후 추가로 약재를 침출(infusion)시켜 만든 한국술이다. 제조비법이 전수된 내력은 공식적으로만도 13대에 달하지만 실제의 연원은 그보다도 더 오래 전으로 거슬러 올라가는데, 현재 송화백일주의 양조를 맡고 있는 벽암 스님은 1994년부터 국가 지정 전통식품 명인 1호로 지정되어 있기도 하다.

송화백일주는 증류 후 침출과정 때문에 기술적으로는 주세법상 '리큐르'로 구분되고 있지만, 가령 Jägermeister 부터 걸쭉한 Baileys 까지 포괄하는 서구 liqueur의 이미지를 생각하고 있다가는 정작 송화백일주를 잔에 따랐을 때 혼란에 빠질 수도 있다. 투명한 38도짜리 송화백일주는 오히려 마시는 입장에서는 사실상 소주에 가깝게 보인다고도 할 수 있기 때문이다.

안동소주같은 고도의 증류식소주에서 제조기법에 따라 '탄내가 난다'는 평을 받는 경우가 이따금씩 있는데, 송화백일주에서 증류주의 탄내는 맡을 수 없다. 그러나 그렇다고 소주 특유의 알콜냄새가 나지 않는 것도 아니다. 위스키처럼 후각을 점령하는 향은 없으나 분명히 뭔가 특유의 향이 배경에 은은하게 깔려있고, 맛을 보게되면 필자의 뒤떨어지는 미각 능력을 가지고 글로 묘사할 재주는 없지만서도 보통의 증류식소주류에서 나지 않는 송화백일주 고유의 무엇인가가 있다.

물론 기능적인 측면에서 유럽에서 기원한 몇몇 리큐르는 실제로 약초성분과 알콜의 결합에 그 연원을 두는 것들도 있고, 그런 측면에서 갖가지 한약재 조합을 발효 또는 증류 후에 첨가하는 상당수의 한국전통주와 놀랍게도 일맥상통하는 부분이 없는 것은 아니다. 그럼에도 불구하고 송화백일주는 약재에 방점이 찍히는 대신 약재의 향은 은은하게 배경으로 숨어버린다. 이는 어찌보면 Islay산 싱글몰트 위스키를 유명하게 만든 이탄향과 같은 '임팩트'가 없다는 평가를 내릴 수도 있겠다는 생각이 드는 부분이긴 하지만, 반대로 안주 또는 음식에 술을 곁들이는 것을 기본전제로 깔고 있는 한국의 술 문화를 감안해 본다면 후각과 미각을 압도할만한 향미가 없는 술이 오히려 그러한 전제에 부합하는 술이라고 볼 여지도 있는 것이리라.
by DeltaEagle | 2011/10/03 02:42 | Foods & Drinks | 트랙백 | 덧글(0)
[Bloomberg Editorial]Dimon Is Right About Basel, Wrong About Bank Rules

Jamie Dimon Is Right About Basel, Wrong About Bank Rules: View

Bankers don’t like the new rules that international regulators are drawing up. Jamie Dimon, chief executive officer of JPMorgan Chase & Co., has gone so far as to call them “anti-American,” suggesting that the U.S. break with global regulators and go its own way.

Dimon is absolutely right, but for the wrong reasons. The new banking rules, known as Basel III, are too weak, not too strong.

Basel III represents the third attempt in about two decades to address one of the biggest threats to the global economy: The tendency of financial institutions to go bankrupt during bad times. Among other reforms, the rules require banks to finance their activities with more equity (or capital) as opposed to debt. The equity helps guarantee that the bank’s shareholders will absorb any losses, instead of turning to taxpayers for bailouts.

Despite Dimon’s complaints, the capital requirements aren’t terribly burdensome. For the biggest banks, they amount to somewhere between 3 percent and 5 percent of assets, similar to putting $3,000 to $5,000 down on a $100,000 house. In the convoluted math of Basel (more on this below), that’s the equivalent of a risk-weighted capital ratio of 10 percent.

Dimon and other bankers say 10 percent is too much. They warn that the need to raise more equity will increase their costs, forcing them to charge higher interest rates on loans, with dire repercussions for the economy.

Specious Argument

Their argument is specious at best. Even assuming that banks’ costs would rise (an assertion many economists question), there are other ways to offset the added costs. Consider bankers’ pay. Average U.S. wages in finance are about 70 percent higher than in other industries. Erasing that compensation gap - - it didn’t exist 30 years ago -- would cut the typical bank’s operating expenses by almost 20 percent. That’s just about enough to raise the capital ratio from 5 percent to 10 percent without increasing lending rates, and without impairing shareholder profits.

To our minds, the strongest argument against Basel is that it doesn’t go far enough. The bestresearch available has found that much higher capital ratios would be good for the economy because the benefit of reducing the frequency of financial disasters far outweighs any costs. The optimal risk-weighted capital ratio would be about 20 percent, equivalent to equity of 7 percent to 10 percent of total assets, or double the level in Basel III. What’s more, economists see little risk to growth if regulators err on the high side, while the dangers of having too little capital are painfully apparent.

Perverse Incentives

Another argument against Basel is that it creates perverse incentives in the way it calculates capital. Instead of simply dividing a bank’s equity by its total assets, the Basel rules assign each asset a weight that is supposed to correspond to its risk. Government bonds, for example, have a zero weight, as if they had no risk at all. This feature makes them very attractive, and helped turn Europe’s debt problems into a global crisis by encouraging banks to invest heavily in the high- yielding debt issued by Greece and other countries.

The risk-weighting system is also far too complex and too easily manipulated to provide a reliable picture of how much capital a bank really has. For a large bank such as JPMorgan, coming up with a risk-weighted ratio requires sorting assets into more than 200,000 different buckets. Even unintentional errors can skew reported capital ratios by several percentage points. That’s a problem when the starting point is only 10 percent.

British Requirements

The flaws in the Basel rules have led Britain, which has one of the world’s largest concentrations of big banks, to create its own, more stringent requirements. Under a plan the U.K.’s Conservative-led government intends to adopt, big banks must have loss-absorbing capacity -- consisting of equity and debt that converts into equity in times of stress -- of at least 17 percent and as much as 20 percent.

The U.S. would do well to follow the U.K.’s example and impose a 20 percent risk-weighted capital requirement for the biggest banks. To make sure they’re not gaming the system, their equity should also exceed 10 percent of total assets. This would be anathema to Dimon and other bankers, but it would prevent them from taking the kinds of risks that can result in big bills for taxpayers and economic misery for millions of families.

To contact the Bloomberg View editorial board: view@bloomberg.net.



(article from: http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2011-09-22/jamie-dimon-is-right-about-basel-wrong-about-new-rules-for-banking-view.html)
by DeltaEagle | 2011/09/22 13:17 | Investment | 트랙백 | 덧글(0)
[한국경제 사설 스크랩]그리스 국가부도에 얽힌 음모론 한 토막
기사프린트 창닫기
입력: 2011-09-15 17:25 / 수정: 2011-09-16 04:53
[사설]

그리스 국가부도에 얽힌 음모론 한 토막

어제 새벽(한국시간)에는 메르켈 독일 총리와 사르코지 프랑스 대통령의 유로존 관련 합의가 발표돼 세계 증시에서 큰 환영을 받았다. 그리스가 유로존에서 탈퇴하지는 않을 것이란 희망 섞인 전망은 당분간 그리스를 부도처리하지 않겠다는 양국의 합의로도 읽혔다. 한국 증시 역시 이날 발표 덕분에 전날의 폭락세에서 의미있는 반등세를 만들어 냈다. 

그리스 재정위기와 관련해서는 흥미있는 음모론도 일각에서 나돈다. 이 음모론에 따르면 유럽 주요국들은 그리스를 당장 부도내지는 않는다는 게 골자다. 소시에테제네랄 아그리콜 등 그리스 국채에 대거 물려 있는 금융회사들이 빠져나올 시간을 2년 정도 확보한 다음 적당한 시기를 봐가면 디폴트를 낸다는 것이다. 이 기간 동안 몇단계에 걸쳐 소규모 채무조정을 실시하면서 시간을 번다는 것이 그리스 해법 1단계다. 유럽은 이 2년여의 시간 동안 미국을 방불하는 유럽판 양적완화정책을 펴면서 자국 금융사들이 빠져나올 시간을 확보하게 된다. 이 과정에서 대거 풀려나온 자금이 아시아 증시로 유입되면서 실물경제와 관계없이 거품을 만들어 내는 것은 그 다음 단계다. 아시아 증시는 실물경제와 괴리되면서 거품을 형성하고 어느 단계에 가면 결국 터진다는 게 음모론이 가정하는 마지막 국면이다. 이렇게 되면 그동안 원기를 회복한 유럽 금융사들이 초토화된 아시아 시장에 진출해 지금 유럽에서 본 손실을 일거에 만회한다는 것이 소위 음모론의 줄거리다. 

우스꽝스럽기는 하지만 1997년 외환위기의 쓰라린 경험이 있는 한국으로서는 관심있게 들어두지 않을 수 없다. 물론 오죽하면 이런 음모론이 나올까 하는 생각을 해볼 수도 있다. 실제로 그리스는 국가부채가 GDP의 200%에 육박하는 상황이어서 국가부도를 피할 방법이 없다. 문제는 음모론이 때로는 일말의 진실을 말해주기도 한다는 점이다. 음모론은 치명적 약점에 관해 약간의 힌트를 준다. 국제회의장 복도에서 은밀히 확산되고 있는 음모론을 굳이 소개하는 것은 이에 대비하기 위해서다. 냄비주가, 군집행동(herding behavior), 과도한 외국인 비중 등에서 우리 시장은 너무나 허약하다. 
by DeltaEagle | 2011/09/16 13:17 | Investment | 트랙백 | 덧글(0)
[Bloomberg]European Bank Job ‘Bloodbath’ Surpasses 40,000

European Bank Job ‘Bloodbath’ Surpasses 40,000

UBS AG (UBSN)’s decision to cut 5 percent of its workforce brings to more than 40,000 the number of jobs cut by European banks in the past month as the region’s worsening sovereign debt crisis crimps trading revenue.

UBS, Switzerland’s biggest bank, said yesterday it will eliminate 3,500 jobs, mainly from its investment bank. It follows HSBC Holdings Plc (HSBA), which announced 30,000 cuts on Aug. 1, Barclays Plc (BARC), which is cutting headcount by 3,000, and Royal Bank of Scotland Group Plc (RBS), which is eliminating 2,000 posts. Credit Suisse Group AG (CSGN) announced 2,000 reductions on July 28.

European banks are slashing jobs this year six times faster than their U.S. peers, according to data compiled by Bloomberg, as concerns about the creditworthiness of ItalySpain and France roil financial markets and reduce income from fixed- income trading, stock and bond underwriting as well as mergers and acquisitions. Financial firms are also cutting costs as regulators force banks to hold more and better quality capital to withstand future shocks.

“It’s a bloodbath, and I expect things to get worse before they get better,” said Jonathan Evans, chairman of executive- search firm Sammons Associates in London. “I cannot see a lot of those who have lost their jobs getting re-employed. Regardless of how good someone is, no one wants to talk about hiring. Life will be very difficult for two or three years.”

The 46-member Bloomberg Europe Banks and Financial Services Index has fallen 31 percent this year. RBS tumbled 49 percent, Barclays 44 percent and France’s Societe Generale (GLE) SA 48 percent.

RBS, Barclays

Credit Suisse and UBS both reported a 71 percent drop in investment-banking earnings in the second quarter. Revenue at Edinburgh-based RBS’s securities unit dropped 35 percent in the period, while London-based Barclays Capital posted a 27 percent decline in pretax profit.

“Some job cuts will be done by all banks” with investment banking units, said Stefano Girola, a fund manager at Albertini Syz & Co. in Milan, who helps manage about 3 billion euros ($4.3 billion). “Business volumes are poor, especially in equity and corporate bonds divisions.”

European banks are cutting jobs at the fastest rate since the collapse of Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc. in 2008, eliminating about 67,000 roles so far this year, according to Bloomberg data. U.K. banks account for about 50,000 of those reductions. U.S. lenders announced about 10,500 cuts in the same period, the data show.

‘Far Fewer Bankers’

A lot of the cuts are likely to be permanent, according to Stephane Rambosson, managing partner at executive search firm Veni Partners inLondon.

“Returns will continue to fall and costs on revenue have just exploded,” Rambosson said. “Somehow banks have to make the equation work. In the long term, there will be far fewer bankers than there were.”

Banks will be forced to continue to cut costs as they struggle to increase revenue amid tougher regulation, according to an Aug. 17 report byKPMG LLP.

The Basel Committee on Banking Supervision will require lenders to more than triple the core reserves they must hold to protect themselves from insolvency by 2019. Under Basel III, banks will be obliged to hold core Tier 1 capital equivalent to 7 percent of their risk-weighted assets, compared with 2 percent under the previous international rules.

“We’re looking at a fundamental restructuring of banking,” said David Sayer, global head of retail banking at KPMG in London. “Banks have to hold far more capital and more of it in liquidity, which doesn’t generate a return. This means the cost of doing business is higher, leading banks to think about where they’ll make money and pulling out of countries and areas where they won’t.”

Slower Growth Forecast

UniCredit SpA (UCG) this week lowered its growth forecasts for the 17-nation euro region for this year and next. The euro area will expand 1.7 percent this year and 1 percent in 2012, Unicredit chief euro zone economist Marco Valli said in a note yesterday. That compares with a previous prediction of 2.1 percent growth in 2011 and 1.7 percent in 2012.

“The banking industry overall is clearly re-shaping its cost base,” said Andrew Gray, banking leader at accounting firm PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP in London. “We may well see some further losses of jobs over the course of the second half of 2011. Exactly where is impossible to say, but we will see some further cuts from other institutions.”

To contact the reporters on this story: Gavin Finch in London at gfinch@bloomberg.net; Liam Vaughan in London atlvaughan6@bloomberg.net

To contact the editor responsible for this story: Edward Evans at eevans3@bloomberg.net

by DeltaEagle | 2011/08/24 16:11 | Investment | 트랙백 | 덧글(0)
[Research Article]Psychopaths and big money - it all adds up
by DeltaEagle | 2011/08/21 00:31 | Biology & Psychology | 트랙백 | 덧글(0)
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